Well, here it is coming right at us. The time is 10:36 a.m. on 04/10/2019 and I just finished reviewing the updates from the National Weather service out of Goodland, Kansas. We could be in for quite a storm here tonight and tomorrow, Thursday. Be prepared and use extreme caution during the evening hours tonight and into the daytime hours Thursday. Do not take this storm lightly. I have been advised this is a powerful winter storm that will be travelling from northwest to southeast.
Wednesday day: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3 pm. Temperature falling to around 44 by 5 pm. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 25 miles per hour, with gusts as high as 35 miles per hour. Expect travel to become difficult if not impossible. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Wednesday night: Rain showers before 11 pm, then Snow showers, possibly mixed with rain, becoming all snow after 1 am. This snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Widespread blowing snow, mainly after 4 am. Low around 29. Very windy, with a north wind 30 - 40 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. 2 to 4 inches of new snow expected.
Thursday day: Snow showers likely before 1 pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Widespread blowing snow, mainly before 7 am. Cloudy, with a high near 36. Very windy, with a northwest wind 35 to 40 mph, with gusts as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. 1 to 3 inches of new snow possible.
Thursday night: A 20% chance of showers before 1 am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. Windy.
Friday day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 43.
Friday night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 23
So to recap:
Rain changes to snow, with potential for near blizzard conditions Wednesday night and Thursday morning. Right now forecast has gusts as high as 60 mph. However, there is potential for these gusts to reach 75 mph.
Snowfall amounts have increased across the entire area. Because snow expected across the entire area, the Winter Storm Watch has been expanded to the entire area. Wind gusts up to 65 MPH, possibly up to 75 mph, near blizzard conditions, snowfall up to 9", up to .1" of ice accumulating.
Entire Tri-State Area at risk for these very high wind gusts. Near blizzard potential and heavy snow most likely across much of the area. 2 to 9 inches north of I-70 and up to 3 inches south of I-70.
Timing & Duration: Please see Timing page.
Impacts : Little to no visibility Wednesday night and Thursday morning making travel hazardous to dangerous. Some roads may become impassable. Power outages may occur.
Certainty & Considerations: High confidence in wind gust potential for entire area. Moderate to high confidence for blizzard conditions. Low confidence in freezing rain developing.